External Debt and Economic Growth: Moderating Role of Governance in South Asia Region

Dr. Mujeeb Saif
External Debt and Economic Growth: Moderating Role of Governance in South Asia Region

A recent analysis published in the Eurasian Economic Review investigates the impact of external debt on economic growth in South Asian countries and explores how governance plays a crucial role in moderating this relationship.

Research Methodology

The study utilizes 20 years of data (2000–2019) from South Asian economies and employs FMOLS and DOLS models for empirical analysis.

Key Findings

The statistical analysis reveals a significant negative effect of both long- and short-term external debts, while governance has a significant positive effect on economic growth. In addition, the positive moderating role of governance was also observed in the nexus of external debt and economic growth.

Enhancing governance can make external borrowing beneficial for economic progress. The positive moderating role of governance was observed in the nexus of external debt and economic growth.

External Debt Impact

Both long- and short-term external debts have a significant negative effect on economic growth in South Asian economies.

Governance Effect

Governance has a significant positive effect on economic growth, serving as a key moderating factor.

Moderating Role

Good governance can transform the negative impact of external debt into beneficial economic outcomes.

Policy Implications

Policies should focus on reducing external borrowings, improving governance quality, and effective debt utilization.

Policy Recommendations

The study emphasizes the importance of enhancing governance to ensure beneficial utilization of external borrowing for economic progress and suggests policies for reducing external borrowings, improving governance quality, and effectively utilizing external debt for development projects.

Publication Details

For more details and a comprehensive understanding of the study, you can access the full article published in the Eurasian Economic Review through the provided DOI link: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-024-00264-0.

MS

Dr. Mujeeb Saif

Gulf University

Last Updated: 09 Apr 2026